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Published method

Shrinkage Planner: formulas, assumptions and a worked example

How the Shrinkage Planner totals the paid time that never reaches the queue, turns it into agents on the queue and agents to schedule, and prices the paid time off the queue.

Method version 1.1, published 2026-09-28.

What each number is

Total shrinkage, agents on the queue and agents to schedule are arithmetic on your inputs. The planning range is an assumption, labelled as a heuristic. The value of paid time off the queue is a conditional forecast at the stated wage, hours and load: wages already paid, described as where paid time goes, never as a saving.

Formulas

Total shrinkage

The sum of every category, each entered as a percent of paid hours

Categories on one base add. The total stops at 99%, because scheduling divides by what is left; a larger sum is corrected and disclosed.

Planned and unplanned

Planned: breaks, coaching, training, team meetings, PTO. Unplanned: system downtime, absenteeism, late and out of adherence

Planned time is booked ahead; unplanned time happens on the day. PTO is planned because it is booked ahead.

Agents on the queue

Roster × (1 − total shrinkage)

How many of the rostered agents are handling contacts at any moment, on average.

Agents to schedule

Agents needed on the queue ÷ (1 − total shrinkage), rounded up

The same gross-up the Staffing Calculator applies. Multiplying the need by one plus shrinkage understates it.

Paid time off the queue

Roster × total shrinkage × hourly rate × paid hours a year × benefits load

Split into planned and unplanned in proportion to their shares.

One point of shrinkage

Roster × 1% agents, and that times hourly rate × paid hours a year × benefits load

What one point of the total moves, so a change in any category can be sized.

Rules and bands

Below the planning range · Under 28%

Can mean tight control, or coaching and training time being skipped. Check which before treating it as good.

Within the planning range · 28 to 35%

Inside the range most plans start from. It says nothing about whether the mix is right.

Above the planning range · Over 35%

Worth decomposing by category before it is treated as fixed. The Staffing Calculator flags the same line.

The planning range is a labelled heuristic shared with the Staffing Calculator. No published benchmark sets it, and the tool attaches no judgement to a position against it.

Every constant and where it comes from

0.28 share of paid hours · Heuristic, no published source

Bottom of the planning range for total shrinkage. A total below it can mean coaching and training time is being skipped as easily as good control.

0.35 share of paid hours · Heuristic, no published source

Top of the planning range for total shrinkage. Staffing flags a total above it as worth decomposing before it is treated as fixed.

2,080 paid hours per year · Definition

The 2,080 hour full-time year (40 hours for 52 weeks). Occupancy prices an added agent on it; Shrinkage prices paid time off the queue on it.

1.3 multiple of hourly wage · Heuristic, no published source

Wage plus benefits and employer payroll burden, and nothing else. The narrowest of the three loads. Use it wherever a wage becomes a loaded hourly rate for unit metrics.

21.53 USD per hour · Published source

The one agent wage benchmark the platform cites. Staffing, Cost per Contact and Channel Shift read it. It is the occupation median, no figure of the user's own, so a driver still at it grades evidence Directional. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (released 15 May 2026), SOC 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives, national median hourly wage.

Worked example

Computed by the tool's own engine at its default inputs, so this page and the calculator always agree.

Agents on the roster: 200

Agents needed on the queue: 140

Hourly rate: $21.53 (BLS median)

Planned: breaks 8%, coaching 3%, training 4%, meetings 2%, PTO 8%

Unplanned: system downtime 1%, absenteeism 5%, late and out of adherence 2%

Total shrinkage

8 + 3 + 4 + 2 + 8 + 1 + 5 + 2 = 33% (25% planned, 8% unplanned)

Agents on the queue

200 × 0.67 = 134

Agents to schedule

140 ÷ 0.67 = 208.96, rounded up to 209, 9 more than the roster

Paid time off the queue

200 × 33% × $21.53 × 2,080 × 1.3 = $3,842,330 a year ($2,910,856 planned, $931,474 unplanned)

One point of shrinkage

2 agents, $116,434 a year

What this tool cannot tell you

  • Shrinkage here is a planning average. It varies by interval, day and season; schedule by interval where your WFM system allows.
  • Every category must be on the same base, a percent of paid hours. A category measured against hours present has to be converted first, or the total understates shrinkage.
  • Agents to schedule start from the agents needed on the queue, which this tool takes as given. The Staffing Calculator sizes that number for a service level.
  • The value of paid time off the queue is wages already paid. Planned time is part of running the operation, so the figure is no budget for cuts.
Open the Shrinkage Planner
How to cite

The Center of CX, "Shrinkage Planner method", version 1.1, 28 September 2026, https://www.contactcentercx.com/methodology/shrinkage-planner